Thursday, 17 February 2011

New Leader Round Position Charts


Thanks to an excellent user suggestion, six more new charts have been added to Golf Predictor. This new functionality brings the number of charts on the site to 241! These new pie charts are:
  1. Percentage of winners who were leaders/in the top 5/in the top 10/outside the top 10 after round 1 for the US PGA Tour in a given season.
  2. Percentage of winners who were leaders/in the top 5/in the top 10/outside the top 10 after round 1 for the European PGA Tour in a given season.
  3. Percentage of winners who were leaders/in the top 5/in the top 10/outside the top 10 after round 2 for the US PGA Tour in a given season.
  4. Percentage of winners who were leaders/in the top 5/in the top 10/outside the top 10 after round 2 for the European PGA Tour in a given season.
  5. Percentage of winners who were leaders/in the top 5/in the top 10/outside the top 10 after round 3 for the US PGA Tour in a given season.
  6. Percentage of winners who were leaders/in the top 5/in the top 10/outside the top 10 after round 3 for the European PGA Tour in a given season.
These charts are accessible from the "View Options - Tourn Winners" page in the member section of Golf Predictor and our data goes back to the start of the 2003 season for both tours. The screen shot above shows the round one chart for winners on the 2010 US PGA Tour season. As usual, hovering over a segment shows additional information, as shown above for winners who led after round one. All positions include ties and 'Top Five' covers eventual winners who were in positions two to five after the round in question. Similarly, 'Top Ten' is eventual winners in positions six to ten in the round in question. Note that only stroke play events are used and the fourth round of five round events (i.e. The Bob Hope Classic) is ignored.

These new charts display very useful information for fantasy golfers and golf gamblers in particular, so thanks again to the user who offered the original suggestion, which was expanded upon. For example, looking at the 2011 season charts (covering completed events so far this season), there are some interesting observations:

  1. The winner of all six events so far on the 2011 US PGA Tour has either led (1 or 16.7%) or been in the top five (5 or 84.3%) after round 2.
  2. The winner of all six events so far on the 2011 US PGA Tour has either led (3 or 50%) or been in the top five (3 or 50%) after round 3.
  3. It's bad to lead after round 1 on the 2011 European PGA Tour! No one so far has managed to hold on for victory after 8 events.
  4. The round 3 leaders on the 2011 European PGA Tour have been better than their US counterparts at closing out the win. In the 8 events so far, 6 (75%) round 3 leaders have won and the remaining 2 (25%) winners were in the top five after round 3.

It will be interesting to see how these charts change over the season. I certainly will be using them for my own fantasy golf substitutions! However, only subscribers can view these new charts. So, sign up today and enjoy the full functionality of Golf Predictor, the premium professional golf statistics site.

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